<img height="1" width="1" style="display:none;" alt="" src="https://px.ads.linkedin.com/collect/?pid=1448210&amp;fmt=gif">
Free Research
ABI Research Blog | Admin (82)

Admin


Recent Posts

First thoughts on Microsoft's Skype call

May 10, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

0 Comments

​It’s official now: Microsoft buys Skype for $8.5 billion in cash. That’s a lot of money for a firm whose business has yet to become profitable, especially if compared to the $2.8 billion that the selling side – Silver Lake et al – paid eBay for it in 2009. Here are some varyingly loose thoughts to start with:

  • Product-wise, this could be a nice fit. Microsoft has severalareas in both consumer and enterprise sectors that will benefit from a top-notch VoIP,video and sharing solution. All of the synergies may never realize, but even the promise of them goes a long way explaining why the price may not seem that right.
  • Whatever happens, Skype is still multiple times a better fit for Microsoft than it was for eBay, whose own purchase in 2005 was based on the assumption that it would boost its auction business. Who wouldn’t enjoy calling to strangers, eh?
  • A preinstalled, well integrated Skype client could be a potent differentiator for Windows Phone devices vs. Androids, iPhone and BlackBerry. Thus far there aren’t many, at least in the positive sense of the word.
  • As a third-party app, Skype has worked well on Windows Phone’s rivals. So one interesting issue will be to see whether Microsoft will make it exclusive for WP handsets. That would probably unnecessarily hinder Skype’s push into the mobile domain, and erode its brand and user base, so a likelier option will be that Nokia and other manufacturers using WP will insteadgain some premium features. Video calling mightwell be one.
  • Telcos won’t be happy to seeanother over-the-top front opening, but they have surely seen it coming. Just witness Telefonica’s (Jajah) and Deutsche Telekom’s (Bobsled) moves in this space – they’re trying hard to make VoIP working for them rather than only against them. But having said that, if they wished that the Nokisoft tie-up would result in a leading yet still operator-friendlier ecosystem they will be disappointed.

Read More

Nvidia to Acquire Icera

May 9, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

0 Comments

It was announced today that Nvidia are to acquire baseband supplier Icera.


At $367 million in cash it isn't as large a purchase as some other recent semiconductor company acquisitions e.g. Qualcomm/Atheros, TI/National but it does have the promise to be a very interesting deal.


With the acquisition it pushes Nvidia into the relatively small group of companies able to supply integrated platform solutions for the smartphone market. It can join the likes of Qualcomm, ST-Ericsson and Intel, amongst others.


Although it probably won't have Qualcomm quaking in its boots quite yet, it will certainly be on their radar, especially as Nvidia has seen significant traction for its Tegra 2 processors in smartphones over the last 12 months.


More details to follow .........

Read More

Warner Bros.’ acquisition of Flixster and Rotten Tomatoes is further evidence media is moving to digital services, but is there trouble in the cloud or are recent events just isolated lightning strike

May 5, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

0 Comments

Warner Bros. recently announced the acquisition of Flixster/Rotten Tomatoes in an effort to further expand the company’s presence in the digital space. If you recall, Flixster acquired Rotten Tomatoes in early 2010 from IGN Entertainment (property of News Corporation). This acquisition, coupled with the trials of Facebook and iOS sales further suggests Warner Bros is seeking to forge more direct relationships with consumers. All of these new elements in the content landscape, be it “TV Everywhere” initiatives, HbbTV, Ultraviolet, or content to connected CE devices rely on remote access to some extent. ABI Research explored this developing market further in an over the top report.

Recently, however, there have been a number of large scale data breaches or interruptions in cloud based services. Amazon Web Services had an outage (leaving some B2B customers without service), Yahoo! Mail and Flickr was down to some users, and Sony’s PlayStation Network has been offline since April 20, 2011, following the “external intrusion” (offline as of May 4).

In Sony’s case the potential repercussions could extend further as personal data from the 70+ million PSN users (and possibly account data from Sony Online Entertainment MMO services) was potentially stolen. In addition, while Sony has not confirmed nor officially denied the loss of credit card information there has been reports of hackers trying to sell this data online and some potential victims of identity theft/credit card fraud have surfaced as well (possibly linked to this PSN intrusion).
While these incidents do not necessarily reflect poorly on the efficacy of cloud based services it does perhaps call into question its ultimate scope or reach. Something other ABI Analysts are pondering as well, as evidenced by John Devlin’s recent post “ How will Sony’s mis-adventure affect the future development of the cloud?
The shift however is perhaps already evident with media, where more consumers and services are migrating from physical copies to digital, which engenders a greater reliance on the cloud. Supporting this trend is the expansion of mobile broadband, hotspots, and fixed broadband services, but is this enough to overlook potential hurdles/drawbacks?
It is true that many consumers already rely on email or social networking services over more traditional forms of communication, but as we move more of our daily activities online the importance of the connection to the Internet (and availability of services) likewise grows in kind. Take movies/TV for instance. Many consumers are quick to complain if the cable or satellite feed is interrupted or lost, would this standard not hold true for cord cutters who rely on online content as well? This is not limited to the on/off metric alone, but also the quality of service. Physical media may be cumbersome (e.g. storing discs), but in most cases it can still be enjoyed without relying on an external service or broadband connection.
It is, however, hard to imagine consumers making a significant shift away from broadband services/content, even with the threat of stolen data. In fact many consumers hold a rather low valuation for their personal information; no this does not mean consumers would care little if their personal information were to be stolen, but if we consider how much information about our private lives is made public (or given to third parties) the breach at Sony starts to feel less severe.
Take for instance “loyalty cards.” Many consumers are perfectly willing to give these retailers copious amounts of data about their shopping habits (or gambling, as the case may be) for rather basic rewards, be it discounts (or cash back) or contests. How about home addresses? Some social networkers have no problem posting personal information online and lest we forget about sites like Spokeo.com, where addresses for many individuals are readily available. Yes credit card information is different (and so is large collections of personal data), but much of our lives are no longer private and certainly not immune from identity theft.
In the end change will continue and whether the infrastructure and cloud is ready, more consumers and services will undoubtedly come to rely on it. As for security and personal information, the breach at Sony and Epsilon will certainly not be the last, but if companies learn from these cases then the end might justify these bumps in the road, as it were. And perhaps consumers will start to think more consciously about the choices they make with their identity and the value assigned to their data.
Read More

Lower Wii price and PSN troubles…should Sony worry?

May 5, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

0 Comments

Yesterday Nintendo announced a lower price for the Nintendo Wii, USD 149.99, and while the package is different (includes Mario Kart and wheel attachment) the price drop could boost sales - respondents to ABI Research surveys have time and again placed price high among the critical elements used when evaluating CE purchases. But the Wii also finds itself in a precarious situation. As the most common platform (installed base) amongst current generation consoles there is less room for growth, but this limitation is not tied to penetration alone. Considering the lack of HD and less robust hardware the console is also lacking the necessary tools to adequately compete with the PS3 and 360 amongst many “hardcore” gamers – gamers who are more likely to purchase updated units and games/peripherals. While the next generation Wii is expected to address these issues (expected after March 2012) Nintendo has to weather the weaker market for what appears to be at least a full year more.
Recently, however, there have been a number of large scale data breaches or interruptions in cloud based services with Sony’s PlayStation Network as one such example – the service has been offline since April 20, 2011, following the “external intrusion” (offline as of May 5). With the potential for over 70+ million PSN user data (and possibly account data from Sony Online Entertainment MMO services) stolen the repercussions could extend further than service downtime alone, particularly if credit card data was lost as well.

Will consumers feel safe storing their personal content online? We can question Sony’s online security but in the recent past other companies like Epsilon have fallen victim to breaches of security and data. Some might wonder what actions Sony will take to better safeguard private data – in other words if Sony is able to “beef up” security then why wasn’t more done initially to protect this data? Sony may have also compounded the problem by taking an inordinate amount of time informing their customers that the potential exists their personal data might have been stolen; for reference Sony shut down PSN and Qriocity services on April 20 th, news broke on the 25 th that personal information was potentially stolen, and some PSN users did not receive emails until the 27 th.
Sony will likely face some backlash, although in the long run the effects will likely prove minimal as many consumers will return once services are reinstated; although some might choose to refrain from giving Sony their credit card information again, which could hurt the platform’s appeal as a central hub for digital content. Nintendo’s lower price could pull in additional customers, but at this juncture in the lifecycle of the current generation of game consoles these sales probably won’t have a significant impact on PS3 demand. In the end, even with a relatively significant number of PSN subscribers threatening to defect for Microsoft’s Xbox Live, with most of the PSN services free to consumers simply turning services back on could very well be the only apology Sony needs to appease these customers – free is almost always compelling.
Read More

Bluetooth SIG AHM 2011

May 5, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

0 Comments

I attended the Bluetooth SIG "All Hands Meeting" in April, held in Budapest. Looked like an interesting city to visit (from my hotel room) but as usual with these trips it was a flying visit and the view from the hotel room is all I got, but I digress….

The event seemed to be very well attended and the recently re-organization and new focus on the SIG gave lots of scope for presentations and a lively debate.
My overall impression was that, although it can sometimes take a little longer than member companies would like to finalize a new specification (and it can be frustrating), it is worth the delay to get it right. Bluetooth Low Energy will bring about an exciting new era for Bluetooth, pushing it into new markets that would otherwise have remained out of reach. Cellular handsets will continue to be the main market and the enabler for others such as wireless sensors.
Read More

How will Sony's mis-adventure affect the future development of the cloud?

May 3, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

0 Comments

It was onlyat the start of Aprilwhen I wrote the following words ​in relation to Amazon's launch of two new cloud-based services:

"In the meantime, as service providers push to open this market and gain competitive advantage by being first to market, it is highly probable that a high profile lapse will occur. Any such instance could easily set the market back a number of years, damaging the trust that is necessary to enable cloud services to take off. Service providers must not neglect cloud security and allow this to happen."

Unfortunately this now seems rather prophetic with myself being one of 105 million potential victims. How will I, and all of the others,react in the future when asked to enter my credit card details into a supposedly reputable web-site? It will surely make us all think twice in the future, particularly if there is any use of member's credit card details.

My focus then was around the need for cloud security, and how thiswill evolve in the future. Without further development and consideration I would expect the uptake of new services to be impacted following some high profile names, including Play.com and TripAdvisor as well as Sony, having fallen victim to hackers.

Read More

China's Huawei and ZTE initiate legal spat over intellectual property

May 2, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

0 Comments

On Thursday, Huawei announced it had filed lawsuits against fellow Chinese company ZTE in three European countries for patent and trademark infringement.

Lawsuits filed in France, Germany, and Hungary claim ZTE has infringed on a series ofHuawei patents relating to data cards (such as USB dongle modems), LTE technologies, and illegal use of a Huawei trademark.ZTE returned the volleyon Friday, suing Huawei with claims of patent infringement relating to LTE air interface protocol technology.

China-based companies suing each other is not a headline one hears everyday. Have the rules of the game changed?

Both Huawei and ZTE have grown respective mobile telecommunications businesses by leaps and bounds in the past few years. The pair have also been under the political microscope as market reach introduced each to becoming global leaders.

Along with the growth come new challenges. Huawei and ZTE are leading the modem data card market and both have seen early success in LTE infrastructure and device deployments. Traditionally fast-followers, the manufacturers are now in the running alongside traditional end-to-end telecom suppliers.

Litigation and IPR protection appear to be tactics that each company will now consider as part of the necessary mix to lead and defend market positions, even if the other party has its roots in China.

Read More

Guess what FT, Telefonica -- The Revolution WILL be Televised

Apr 28, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

0 Comments

Yesterday, France Telecom and Telefonica executives said they will seek to change their peering agreements and will look to charge content providers, particularly those who provide video streaming for passing that traffic over their mobile networks to their consumer customers.
So essentially what these executives are saying is, we are afraid consumers will not pay any more for in terms of the mobile access fees than they are paying today for mobile data services.
This is a complete cop out. They are asking over the top service providers to bear a cost, which they will most likely need to pass on to their consumer customers. These service providers will then be forced to change their business models to fund this cost, depending on whether the consumer accesses those services via mobile network or fixed ones. That is certainly problematic logistically and also in terms of consumer perception.
It is up to the mobile network carrier to monetize their services, which in this case is mobile data access. They provide the mobile network, so don’t sell those services to consumers at a loss. If all you can eat plans are unprofitable, change it. Now is the time for more innovative service offerings from mobile operators – metered billing, QOS triggered services, pricing based on underutilized or overtaxed cell sites, all based on real time billing, policy management and other advanced technologies that mobile operators have at their disposal.

Push these heavyweight service providers at your peril. Solve your own problems.
Read More

US Spectrum Crunch or Hoax?

Apr 28, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

0 Comments

There has been a lot of debate lately around whether the spectrum crunch is real or not. Mobile operators say they need more spectrum. Spectrum is a major reason for AT&T's potential acquisition of T-Mobile USA as well. On the other hand, some say this is nonsense; that some mobile operators and cable companies are sitting on spectrum, and that they do not need more spectrum. What is the truth?

The truth is lies somewhere in between. It's a matter of engineering versus dollars. Mobile operators can use technology and engineering to easily meet their growing capacity needs. They can divide cells as much as they need to by multiplying macrocells and microcells, putting up more picocells and outdoor femtocells, and using more indoor DAS and femtocells.​ No problem . . . until you consider the costs and other issues involved.

This is why spectrum is so desirable. The cost of nationwide spectrum is a fraction - even a tiny fraction of what a mobile operator could spend on additional base stations nationwide, which inlcudes costs for towers, base stations, backhaul to these separate sites, etc. There are problems with getting new sites aside from the costs - the same people who complain about dead spots and calls dropping are sometimes the same people fighting a new cellular base station or tower being put up. When you take this into account, a mobile operator would much rather spend less on acquiring more spectrum than invest more heavily in the network.

In addition, the US is undergoing 4G (WiMAX and LTE) buildouts that are new technologies (OFDMA, hence the next 'generation') that are naturally built out on separate spectrum from that used for existing 2G and 3G technologies. Of course, that spectrum will be refarmed later once the 4G networks are more established.

Because of the financial aspect of subdividing cells, this can only be one of the ways mobile operators will add more capacity. The subdivision of cells will increasingly happen to meet traffic needs, but mobile operators will naturally go for the spectrum option first for the various reasons cited previously. As ABI stated as early as 2007, there will be a capacity crunch cause by the proliferation of WWAN-enabled devices and thier increasing power and capabilities, and mobile operators will use all options at their disposal to meet capacity needs. This includes the use of more spectrum, smaller macro/microcells, the use of small cells, offloading to wireline broadband networks via Wi-Fi and femtocells, changes in pricing including usage-based pricing, compression and video optimization techniques, and more.

Read More

N-Screen Encoding specialist Envivio files IPO paperwork

Apr 26, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

0 Comments

Envivio recently filed its S-1 statement for an IPO, revealing fiscal year 2011 profits (ending 1/31/11) of $30M, up from $16M in 2010. In our recent report, Worldwide Pay TV Encoders and Transcoders, we wrote about Envivio:

Envivio is a privately held company headquartered in South San Francisco, with R&D offices just outside Rennes, France. It is funded by a combination of private equity (Atlantic Bridge, Credit Agricole, etc.), venture capital (Crescendor Ventures), and strategic investors (Intel Capital, NTT finance, and Samsung Ventures). Envivio, historically, was strong in serving IPTV markets. About 2 years ago, the company began serving mobile markets and is now seeing a dramatic increase in N-Screen deployments.

Envivio’s 4Caster platform supports live and offline encoding and transcoding to both traditional broadcasters (cable, satellite, and telco) as well as Internet companies. While the company has, in the past, developed encoders using ASICs, FPGAs, and DSPs, its current product line is based on COTS Intel architecture processors. Envivio supports the major (Adobe, Apple, and Microsoft) adaptive streaming formats. Envivio has customer deployments with large European operators including France Telecom and Orange.

Read More

Lists by Topic

see all

Posts by Topic

See all

Recent Posts