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2011: A Good Year for iControl Networks

Dec 30, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

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It’s been another good year for Software as a Service (SaaS) provider, iControl Networks, which has continued to add to an already an impressive list of home automation deployment partners. This unusually extensive blog post follows on from my soon-to-be published Insight reviewing the major developments in the market for home automation as a service and summarises some of the key goings on with iControl's partners during the year.

One of the company’s earliest and perhaps most notable deployment partners is ADT Security Services, the largest security provider in North America. Whilst the company selected iControl technology for its Pulse product back in 2009, the service wasn’t launched until October 2010. Since then, details of take rates have been sketchy at best, although Edward Breen, the CEO of ADT’s parent company, Tyco International (which has provided funding for iControl in the past), did offer some insight earlier this year. Breen stated that Pulse systems being sold by ADT’s direct sales team are being taken by “15% of customers”. Curiously, no mention was made of Pulse customers signed on by members of ADT’s dealer network (which is estimated to account for around half of all new residential accounts). Furthermore, Frontier Communications signed a resale agreement with ADT allowing it to offer the latter’s home security/automation packages beginning in November 2011 in its Rochester territory.
The latest security dealer to partner with iControl is C24 Interactive, a brand within Connect24, which, like ADT, falls under the Tyco Security Products Brand Portfolio. According to the press release at the time, “iControl will power an integrated solution that will enable the DSC Dealer and Central Station Monitoring partners to offer customers interactive home security and management features.”
With regards to iControl’s cable operator partners, Comcast Corporation began an aggressive expansion of the service area for its XFINITY Home Security service. After an initial trial in the Houston area of Texas in 2010, the company started rolling out in Portland, Philadelphia, Jacksonville, Sarasota, Naples, Nashville, New Jersey and Chattanooga during 2011. More cities are expected to be added to Comcast’s territories throughout 2012. Likewise, Time Warner Cable (TWC) has rolled out its “IntelligentHome” solution in upstate New York, Southern California and North Carolina. Given that Bright House Networks jointly tested a similar system with TWC during the summer of 2011, it would not be unreasonable to assume that it, also, is planning to deploy a solution based on the iControl platform in the not-too-distant future. Comporium Communications has also revealed plans to launch smart home management and security systems powered by iControl.
On the telco front, a key partner for iControl is Rogers Communications which launched its “Smart Home Monitoring” service in August 2011. The service, which has been marketed as "much more than just a home security system” is available in three packages: Home Basic, Home Essentials and Ultimate Home and each costs $39.99, $48.99 and $57.99 per month respectively (excluding upfront installation and equipment costs). On 26 October 2011, iControl signalled its intent to gain a foothold in the European market by announcing that it had entered into a partnership with Swisscom. The company intends to launch the “Smart Living” solution in the Swiss market during 2012 and will provide end-users with a starter kit that includes a base station, wireless sensors, energy module, door contacts and a web cam.
ABI Research will continue to provide incisive and in-depth analysis on all facets of the rapidly emerging home automation market and related areas throughout 2012. For more information on keeping up-to-date with developments in this area, please refer to the Home Automation Systems Service section of our website.

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Automotive Ethernet Opens the Door for the Next Generation Car

Dec 23, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

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​We recently published an Insighton the introduction of new technology from Broadcom that allows 100 Mbps communication in a vehicle over an unshielded twisted-pair cable. While the cost savings and improved design flexibility make this a worthwhile technology, the real benefit is the opportunity to overhaul the complete electronic architecture.

As electric vehicles come to market from many different OEMs, there is a combination of new companies and traditional automotive names looking to capture a share. Telematics is playing a prominent role in helping to overcome the buyer's fear of range anxiety with the shift to a new energy source via an infrastructure that is only just being rolled out.

However the massive increase in on-board automotive electronics is proving a challenge for the existing automotive configuration that has evolved slowly over many years. So far only BMW has discussed a radical new approach, with its i3 and i8 concept vehicles. Expect more on this in 2012...

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GM to Showcase Verizon 4G LTE Cloud Technology at CES 2012

Dec 23, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

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In a press release GM announced details about what new telematics technologies will be showcased and discussed by OnStar and Cadillac at CES 2012:

Cadillac CUE information and entertainment system including research methods behind the creation of CUE
OnStar 4G LTE cloud technology - cooperation with Verizon Wireless on content streaming including rear seat infotainment and video chat
OnStar FMV aftermarket rearview mirror – new features
OnStar RemoteLink and home energy management
A press conference will also be held.
The 4G LTE concept clearly points to GM’s ambitions to extend its traditional safety and security telematics offer to advanced infotainment based on high speed cloud services enabling rear seat infotainment and video-based communication. Cadillac CUE similarly is focused on entertainment complementing the OnStar safety and security system. And with Intellilink GM has already shown how infotainment can be brought into the car via smartphone integration.
However,GM's ultimate goal seems to be tooffer high bandwidth infotainment as an embedded feature, maintaining its strategy of offering reliable and robust solutions known from OnStar and differentiating it from cheaper but less dependable hybrid solutions such as Ford SYNC. However, it will be interesting to see at what price GM will be able to offer broadband infotainment to the car owner. Maybe multi-device data plans will come to its rescue – just in time.

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AT&T’s Failed T-Mobile Bid Will Impact Their Network Competitiveness

Dec 20, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

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AT&T announced yesterday that they have dropped their bid to acquire T-Mobile USA and will take a $4 billion write down due to the breakdown of this deal. The US government has been against the deal from the very beginning citing competitive threats and over-consolidation of the US market if the deal had gone through making AT&T and Verizon wireless behemoths.

While the US government is justified in preventing monopolistic control in a hyper competitive US cellular market, the deal is bound to have major implications on how AT&T and T-Mobile remain competitive from a network standpoint. Verizon has recently acquired AWS spectrum from cable companies at a cost of $4 billion, while Sprint can use spectrum from Clearwire and possibly LightSquared. AT&T’s plan was to acquire T-Mobile’s AWS spectrum and combine it with its 700, 850, 1900 MHz assets. The key here is that the valuable AWS spectrum band has large chunks of 20 MHz and 10 MHz spectrum blocks ideal for high-capacity 4G mobile broadband services. Without valuable spectrum real estate it will become increasingly difficult for AT&T to compete in relation to mobile broadband speeds and capacity.

While T-Mobile USA’s future is now in the hands of the forces at Deutsche Telekom, AT&T doesn’t have too many options left on the table. They would need to fish for spectrum with prospective mobile operators like Dish Networks, or could use techniques like cell splitting, small cells, carrier Wi-Fi all of which are incremental adjustments – not necessarily the strategic trump card they were looking for in T-Mobile.​

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Could Google TV ship on the majority of TVs by summer 2012?

Dec 9, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

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According to MocoNews: “By the summer of 2012, the majority of the televisions you see in stores will have Google ( NSDQ: GOOG) TV embedded in it,” Schmidt said on stage at the Le Web conference."

Connected TV’s will represent around 35-40% of total TV shipments, by mid-2012. They tend to be offered on units in the $400 price-range, and up. So, right off-the bat, we think Mr. Schmidt misspoke. We believe Mr. Schmidt meant to say: By the summer of 2012, the majority of connected TVs you see in stores will have Google TV embedded in it.
So, in terms of connected TV (Smart TV) penetration, we expect Google TV on Sony, Samsung and LG TVs early next year. Together, these account for roughly 40% of US shipments. If you add in Vizio – another likely candidate -- you’re north of 55% of US shipments.These manufacturers (especially Samsung) have invested significant amounts in their own platforms, including enabling App ecosystems of their own. Even if they introduce Google TV into some of their products, they are likely to remain test platforms for some time. For instance, Sony (one of Google TV’s launch partners) only shipped Google TV on 4 models of a lineup of a few dozen connected TVs.
Ultimately, then, it depends on how you define Google TV 2.0. If you define Google TV 2.0 as a single app from within the Google universe (i.e., a YouTube App that leverages its new leanback channels), then he may be right. If you define it slightly more broadly, to include the ability to run Google Apps – possibly in a way which coexists with native apps – then it will be easier to achieve. However, we currently think of Google TV as being the full Android O/S (including Google Applications) – in this case, we see it being mid-2013 before CE manufacturers rely on this, assuming reviews of platforms being demo’ed at CES and released early next year are fabulous.
Therefore, we think Mr. Schmidt is dreaming a little bit.
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I'm Not Surprised by Verizon's and Google's Mobile Wallet Spat

Dec 7, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

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So it is being reported this week that Verizon Wireless is blocking Google Wallet​ from being pre-installed on Nexus smartphones on its network, and also from being downloaded by its subscribers from the Android Market.

All I can really say is, "Why is anyone surprised by this?" Verizon is investing heavily in its own mobile payment platform, Isis,with its MNO partners at AT&T and T-Mobile. Why would it promote a rival service ahead of its own launch? Yes, you can argue that by enabling Google Wallet, Verizon will be promoting the wider awareness and usage of NFC and contactless payments. But when have MNOs ever looked at it like that? Anywhere?

Possibly sensing a backlash from the media and possibly also end-users, Verizon has now been reported as citing technical and security issues relating to the secure element. Specifically, it was quoted as saying "Google Wallet does not simply access the operating system and basic hardware of our phones like thousands of other applications. Instead, in order to work as architected by Google, Google Wallet needs to be integrated into a new, secure and proprietary hardware element in our phones."

There may be something I don't know but my instant reaction here is "What, you men like every other NFC-based payment service, Google Wallet needs a secure element? You don't say??" This might be particularly ironic given that Verizonoperates a cdma network, and doesn't therefore use SIM cards, which is the primary alternative for housing the secure element (as opposed to the handset itself).

The keyword in the statement might be "proprietary" or perhaps it is the fact that Google would effectively own the secure element that concerns Verizon. Either way, this highlights the on-going business-related barriers which have blighted and delayed NFC since someone first suggested making contactless payments with a mobile device. Hopefully a spirit of cooperation, interoperability and openess will prevail soon enough, but for now expect more of the above.

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India FTTH cost too high for consumers

Dec 2, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

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​India’s state owned telecom operator, Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited (BSNL) has recently launched its fibre to the home broadband service in Pune.

The service is available at different speed including 20 Mbps, 50 Mbps and 100 Mbps. The pricing of FTTH broadband service from BSNL is $ 526 for 20 Mbps speed, $950 for 50 Mbps and $ 1700 for 100 Mbps speed with no download limit.

Like other Asian Pacific countries, the government of India has been aiming to deploy a nationwide fibre optic high speed network. However, the high cost is making fibre to the home service remains out of the reach for many of the households in India.

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NSN's Sale of WiMAX Business to NewNet

Dec 2, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

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​Nokia Siemens Networks (NSN) has offloaded its WiMAX business unit to little known NewNet Communications. NSN had acquired the WiMAX unit from Motorola earlier in July 2010, but the deal was only finalized in May 2011 after it ran into a number of hurdles. As a part of its recent restructuring effort NSN has been in the process of offloading non-critical business units. Recently NSN sold its microwave unit to Dragonwave and has recently announced 17,000 layoffsas a part of a €1 billion cost cutting plan.

NewNet Communications is a US based technology firm with a history of acquiring distressed assets with an aim of turning them around. This includes UTSTarcom’s IP messaging and PDSN assets, SS8 Networks signaling and SMS products, and Traxcom’s secure transaction processing platform.

Apart from acquiring 300 staff based in US and China, NewNet will get all of the WiMAX portfolio including access points, base stations and ASN gateways for 802.16d and 802.16e. NewNet is also acquiring 43 of NSN’s WiMAX customers who have been caught in the middle of the NSN-Motorola deal, and have been desperately searching for a resolution.

However, it’s not clear whether NSN has retained any dual mode TD-LTE/WiMAX assets or is in the processing of continuing development of such solutions. NewNet has stated that it hasn’t acquired any such dual mode TD-LTE/WiMAX base station assets.

Huawei who is one of the key rivals of NSN, has been marketing its dual mode TD-LTE/WiMAX Single RAN solution to transition WiMAX operators to TD-LTE. If NSN does lose out on dual mode LTE/WiMAX deals, Huawei is likely to make the most of this opportunity, which could hurt NSN’s TD-LTE business, at the cost of improving overall profitability at the firm.

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Carrier IQ: Guilty Until Proven Innocent

Dec 1, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

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The internet and radio airways were abuzz today upon the revelation that software on users mobile phones allows tracking every website, text message and keystroke they make. Carrier IQ's software is used to help operators diagnose customer service problems to determine if issues emanate from the device, an app or the network.

Upon reading the news reports and the blogosphere posts, it is as if Joe McCarthy has been installed on every mobile phone. Senators are demanding answers from Carrier IQ(Al Franken) and Google is stating it has no involvement with the software's appearance on Android devices (which is true to the best of our knowledgebut they track every search we make from their search engine.)

While personally I think the blog reactions and media reports are riding on the sensational (CNNMoney entitles their article: "Carrier IQ: Your phone's secret recording device" - why couldn't they say: "Carrier IQ: Your phone's secret diagnostic tool"?), the positive is that more discussion will ensue on mobile phone security, personal privacy, and mobile quality of service for the most personal of devices, the mobile phone.

Are their flaws in Carrier IQ's software, business processes and marketing communications which could have been avoided - who knows? However the software is designed to help isolate customer services issues and every wireless sub demands quality service. It is interesting how customer sentiment changes from negativeto less negative or even positivewhen customers are shown the utility brought about by the reviled product or service. Google should be reviled but we all use it and its customer base continues to grow.

The court of public opinion can be brutal -but I say give Carrier IQ a break and have some honest discussions about the risks and benefits.​

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Sprint and Clearwire Finally Get Their Act Together

Dec 1, 2011 12:00:00 AM / by Admin

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I had no doubt an agreement between Sprint and Clearwire would happen simply because it had to. Sprint and Clearwire need each other. Sprint's entire 4G service is currently on Clearwire's network. Most of Clearwire's subcribers are wholesale subscribers, nearly all of the subscriber additions are wholesale subscribers, and those are just about all Sprint subscribers (mostly 4G smartphones). The cable companies that are MVNOs of Clearwire have not been successful in selling those solutions for various reasons. So Clearwire and Sprint are too entangled to let anything go wrong.

In addition, Sprint's future 4G plans need Sprint. Sprint's initial LTE plans were to essentially be "narrowband" LTE in a small part of Sprint's 1.9 GHz spectrum, similar to MetroPCS's deployment of LTE. Only further out would it be able to levarage 800 MHz spectrum that is currently being used for iDEN (which is being phased out). That leaves Sprint almost nowhere competitively - it would barely keep up with its competitors over time. All of the spectrum advatage Sprint had been touting for years was based on Clearwire's vast amount of spectrum. It has been technically non-existent since Sprint left out mention of it a few months back. Today, however, an agreement is in place that will have Sprint support Clearwire financially and technically, and will let Sprint have access to a spectrum-superior LTE network that will operate in TDD mode. The two companies will work together now instead of like two fighting siblings.

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