In 2030, 36 Million New Vehicles will be Shipped with Android Infotainment Systems

Shipments of new vehicles with Android Automotive-based In-Vehicle Infotainment (IVI) systems will surpass shipments of cars with QNX-based IVI systems in 2027, and vehicles with Automotive-Grade Linux (AGL)-based IVI systems in 2029, to reach 36 million shipments in 2030, forecasts global tech market advisory firm, ABI Research in its new whitepaper, The 36 Transformative Technology Stats You Need to Know for 2021.

“The migration from closed systems to open-source platforms, such as AGL, provides considerable savings in development due to the enormous community of developers. Therefore, prominent carmakers like Toyota and Audi have migrated from QNX to AGL,” Maite Bazerra, Smart Mobility and Automotive Research Analyst at ABI Research explains. However, with Google entering the automotive segment and bringing the first Android Automotive into a car in 2020 in collaboration with Aptiv, both QNX and AGL are losing space. Android Automotive is ideal for mass-market vehicles because it contains the main automotive extensions (e.g., audio, navigation, and Bluetooth stacks) pre-developed, reducing time and cost of development, even in comparison to AGL. “Moreover, built-in Google services provide access to other connected devices and a smartphone-like experience to the cockpit at lower costs,” Bazerra adds.

A growing focus on improving in-vehicle perception to advance automotive safety will drive the adoption of camera-based driver monitoring systems, resulting in US$2.1 billion in revenue in 2030, is another Smart Mobility and Automotive trend highlighted in the whitepaper.

“Formerly a niche system on high-end models, the technology will now be featured in the European New Car Assessment Programme’s (EuroNCAP) testing protocols and will be mandated in the European Union (EU) from 2022. While the European Commission (EC) mandate will also cover Autonomous Electronic Braking (AEB), this will have the effect of reinforcing an already high penetration rate, whereas the Driver Monitoring System (DMS) growth is set to outperform all other active safety Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems (ADAS) due to minimal adoption to date,” says James Hodgson, Principal Analyst at ABI Research. Core applications will include fatigue detection and attentiveness monitoring, with premium OEMs differentiating through value-added functions, such as gesture control. In the longer term, DMS will play a key role in monitoring driver engagement in semi-autonomous functions.

About the whitepaper, Stuart Carlaw, ABI Research’s Chief Research Officer says, “We have selected, from among the many millions of data points ABI Research creates each year, to focus on some enlightening data points that matter in the year ahead. Aspects like Tiny Machine Learning (TinyML), private cellular networks, Open Radio Access Network (RAN), blockchain, smart manufacturing platforms, and even connected cows point to how technology advancements are allowing our physical world to be better connected, managed, and efficient. The forecasts presented in this paper may be easy to dismiss but are very important directional indicators of the technology-enabled world of the future.”

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