Over 139,000 Highly Automated Commercial Vehicles Expected to Ship Globally in 2026

Production-grade autonomous transport begins to scale
31 Aug 2021

As factory production begins for leading OEMs within the next three years, SAE Level 4 autonomy will move from modified heavy-duty trucks and pilots to a reality across multiple regions.  According to ABI Research, a global tech market advisory firm, these vehicle shipments will rise worldwide by 186% from 2024 to 2026.

“TuSimple with Navistar plan to launch in 2024, with their Autonomous Freight Network underway with partners like Penske Truck Leasing.  Others gaining momentum include Plus, planned for 2024 and IPO candidate Aurora, anticipating integration with PACCAR and Volvo in 2023,” states Susan Beardslee, Principal Analyst, Supply Chain Management and Logistics at ABI Research.  OEMs, along with start-ups and established partners like Intel’s Mobileye and HERE Technologies, are moving rapidly toward commercialization across North America, Europe, and Asia.

Driver shortages, rising insurance rates, “nuclear” verdicts, and growing fuel costs all contribute to a desire for greater autonomy.  Fleets must concurrently address the pressing needs to support massive e-commerce demand, profitability, and regulations on Hours of Service (HOS). Furthermore, additive regulations at the country-level need to address capabilities and restrictions, across modalities for SAE Level 4 operations.

“The next five years will demonstrate viability, safety, and revenue paths for real-world highly automated driving, with a focus on heavy-duty vehicles on highways and delivery vehicles on city roads,” Beardslee concludes.

These findings are from ABI Research’s Commercial Telematics market data report. This report is part of the company’s Supply Chain Management and Logistics research service, which includes research, data, and ABI Insights. Market Data spreadsheets are composed of deep data, market share analysis, and highly segmented, service-specific forecasts to provide detailed insight where opportunities lie.

About ABI Research

ABI Research is a global technology intelligence firm uniquely positioned at the intersection of technology solution providers and end-market companies. We serve as the bridge that seamlessly connects these two segments by providing exclusive research and expert guidance to drive successful technology implementations and deliver strategies proven to attract and retain customers.

ABI Research 是一家全球性的技术情报公司,拥有得天独厚的优势,充当终端市场公司和技术解决方案提供商之间的桥梁,通过提供独家研究和专业性指导,推动成功的技术实施和提供经证明可吸引和留住客户的战略,无缝连接这两大主体。

For more information about ABI Research’s services, contact us at +1.516.624.2500 in the Americas, +44.203.326.0140 in Europe, +65.6592.0290 in Asia-Pacific, or visit www.abiresearch.com.

Contact ABI Research

Media Contacts

Americas: +1.516.624.2542
Europe: +44.(0).203.326.0142
Asia: +65 6950.5670

Related Research

Related Service