Humanoid Robot Market Size, 2024 to 2030

Today, humanoid robots are essentially non-existent across enterprise and consumer spaces. However, adoption is ramping up and ABI Research forecasts the humanoid market to be valued at US$6.5 billion by the end of the decade, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 138% between 2024 and 2030. 

The market will begin to heat up in 2027, when 115,000 humanoid robots are expected to be shipped worldwide. Innovations in bipedal design, such as Tesla's Optimus robot, will drive adoption for this advanced technology. Annual shipments will jump significantly year-over-year throughout the rest of the decade and reach 195,000 units at the end of the forecast window. 

Humanoid Market Key Takeaways:

Treated as an independent form factor, humanoid robots have strong growth potential, especially in China where state funding and regulatory permissibility buoy growth.

Humanoid robots, capturing the popular imagination and enticing venture capital, promises to revolutionize modern societies. For ABI Research, the question is when the technology will be sufficiently mature for serious work.

ABI Research forecasts an inflection point for the humanoid market between 2026 and 2027. By this time, regulatory, safety, and ROI issues with the form factor will be mostly addressed. Entertainment will be the initial primary application through 2030, with low-cost humanoids such as Unitree’s G1 flooding the early market.

General-purpose humanoids are expected to be the biggest winners of world foundation models. World models are AI models designed to increase the environmental understanding of robots. They bridge perception and planning, giving robots the ability to “think ahead” instead of reacting blindly. Examples include NVIDIA Cosmos and Google Gemini.