With an extensive value chain, the government, healthcare, and citizen ID market will reach a cumulative end user market value in excess of $86 million between 2012 and 2017. The bulk of revenues generated will be from the deployment of national ID cards and e-passports with cumulative shipments of 209 million units in 2011, forecasted to increase to 489 million in 2017.
NXP continued its dominance of IC supply into the market, claiming top spot with 43% share for another successive year. The wider use of contactless interfaces in higher-end credentials will only further benefit NXP in future market gains. The top four smart card vendors were Gemalto, Oberthur, Morpho, and Eastcompeace. Bundesdruckerei, in 8th position, demonstrated the greatest market share gain with an overall increase of 3.3% when compared to 2010.The ramping up in Germany’s contactless ID deployment certainly aided Bundesdruckerei with its end of year 2011 results.
Research analyst Phil Sealy comments; “Contactless is the new “must have” technology in the ID space. Contactless projects have already shown success, deploying within national ID projects in Germany, Egypt, and most notably, China.” Sealy adds, “The trend to adopt a contactless interface will continue throughout the forecast period. We expect to see strong and continued adoption of dual interface ICs primarily utilized in national ID cards. From 2012 onwards, France, Brazil, Poland, and Russia are all expected to adopt contactless technology into their national ID programs. Contactless shipment penetration is expected to increase from 49% in 2011 to 61% in 2017”.
Practice Director John Devlin adds; “The next phase in India’s Aadhaar project could be a real game changer and is one which all the major smart card and IC vendors are looking at. Potentially the project could form the basis for a whole range of services deploying in both an online and offline manner, across both government and commercial sectors providing additional revenue streams for those involved”.
ABI Research’s report, “Smart Cards in Government and Healthcare Citizen ID,” addresses the barriers and drivers of planning and deploying infrastructure and the issuance of citizen-deployed documents and provides analysis of the most likely future market changes and developments.
These findings are part of ABI Research’s Government & Healthcare ID Technologies Research Service which includes additional Competitive Analyses, Vendor Matrices, Market Data, and Insights.
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