ADAS and Autonomous Driving Technology in Trucks and Commercial Vehicles

A wide variety of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) have enjoyed impressive growth in consumer vehicles, progressing from being  the preserve of luxury vehicles to being offered in sub-US$500 packages by mass-market players such as Toyota. Simultaneously, the capacities of these systems have expanded, with combined functions allowing the first glimpses of automation in production vehicles. At the same time, however, the market for commercial ADAS has remained surprisingly sluggish, a trend made more curious by the strong case for ADAS in commercial vehicles. These vehicles tend to be significantly larger and heavier than their consumer counterparts, with more compromised visibility and greater annual mileage. This analysis examines the barriers to commercial ADAS penetration, how they have been relaxed in recent years, and what factors will fleet operator adoption in future.

Another significant growth opportunity in commercial vehicles is highly automated driving. This report examines a broad spectrum of vehicle automation: from analyzing the supporting technology and business case for truck platoons through to a frank discussion of the likelihood of driverless commercial vehicles on public roads.

Table of Contents

  • 1. ADAS IN COMMERCIAL VEHICLES
    • 1.1. Background
    • 1.2. Growth Drivers in Commercial ADAS
      • 1.2.1. Regional Subsidies / Mandates
      • 1.2.2. Falling Costs
      • 1.2.3. Efficiencies
    • 1.3. Principal ADAS Systems
      • 1.3.1. Forward Collision Warning / Mitigation
      • 1.3.2. Adaptive Cruise Control
      • 1.3.3. Lane Departure Warning / Lane Keeping Assist
      • 1.3.4. Blind Spot Detection and Turning Assistant
      • 1.3.5. Driver Monitoring Systems
    • 1.4. European ADAS Legislation
      • 1.4.1. The Effect of EC Regulation in the European Market
      • 1.4.2. The Effect of EC Regulation on the Global ADAS Market
    • 1.5. ADAS Market Forecasts
    • 1.6. ADAS Solutions by Commercial Vehicle OEM
      • 1.6.1. Mercedes-Benz Truck Division
      • 1.6.2. Volvo Trucks and Buses
      • 1.6.3. SCANIA
      • 1.6.4. MAN SE
      • 1.6.5. Navistar International Corporation
  • 2. PLATOONING IN COMMERCIAL VEHICLES
    • 2.1. Technology Overview
    • 2.2. Fleet Operator Benefits
      • 2.2.1. Fuel Efficiencies
      • 2.2.2. Increased Labor / Asset Productivity and Reduced Labor Costs
    • 2.3. Societal Benefits
      • 2.3.1. Emissions Reduction
      • 2.3.2. Truck Platoons as a Precursor to Cooperative Adaptive Cruise Control
      • 2.3.3. Safety Benefits
    • 2.4. Legislative Issues
      • 2.4.1. Mandatory Rest / Tachograph Requirements
      • 2.4.2. Driverless Vehicle Legislation
      • 2.4.3. Insurance and Accident Liability
      • 2.4.4. Safe Platoon Formation Requirements
    • 2.5. Platooning as a Service
    • 2.6. Likely Schedule and Forecasts
      • 2.6.1. Recent Investments
      • 2.6.2. Forecasts
  • 3. AUTONOMOUS TRUCKS AND BUSES
    • 3.1. Overview
    • 3.2. Autonomous Commercial Vehicle Technology
      • 3.2.1. ADAS Sensors
      • 3.2.2. V2X Communication: Vehicle-to-infrastructure and Vehicle-to-vehicle Communication
      • 3.2.3. Precise, High-quality, Up-to-date Digital Maps
    • 3.3. The Likelihood (or Lack Thereof) of Driverless Autonomous Commercial Vehicles
    • 3.4. The Case for Autonomous Commercial Vehicles
      • 3.4.1. Safety
      • 3.4.2. Efficiency
      • 3.4.3. Labor and Asset Productivity
    • 3.5. Autonomous Commercial Vehicle Projects
      • 3.5.1. Mercedes-Benz Future Truck 2025
      • 3.5.2. Freightliner Inspiration Truck
      • 3.5.3. KAMAZ
      • 3.5.4. BeLAZ
      • 3.5.5. Lockheed Martin
      • 3.5.6. De Lijn / Brussels Airport Self-driving Bus
      • 3.5.7. Navia, Nanyang Technological University (NTU), and JTC Corporation, Singapore
    • 3.6. Forecasts

Tables

  1. European Commission ADAS Mandate by Vehicle Type
  2. EC Testing Requirments for CV ADAS
  3. Fuel Efficiencies Attributed to Platooning

Charts

  1. Commercial ADAS Shipments, Forecast, North America: 2014 to 2025
  2. Commercial ADAS Revenues, Forecast, North America; 2014 to 2025
  3. Commercial ADAS Shipments, Forecast, Western Europe: 2014 to 2025
  4. Commercial ADAS Revenues, Forecast, Western Europe: 2014 to 2025
  5. Commercial ADAS Shipments, Forecast, Asia-Pacific: 201 to 2025
  6. Commercial ADAS Revenue, Forecast, Asia-Pacific: 2014 to 2025
  7. Commercial ADAS Shipments, Forecast, Rest of World: 2014 to 2025
  8. Commercial ADAS Revenues, Forecast, Rest of World: 2014 to 2025
  9. Commercial ADAS Shipments, Forecast, World Market: 2014 to 2025
  10. Commercial ADAS Revenues, Forecast, World Market: 2014 to 2025
  11. Truck Platoon System Shipments, Forecast, World Market: 2015 to 2035
  12. Registered Commercial Vehicles Equipped with Platooning Systems, Forecast, World Market: 2015 to 2035
  13. Autonomous Commercial Vehicle Shipments by Region, Forecast, World Market: 2017 to 2035
  14. Registered Autonomous Commercial Vehicles by Region, Forecast, World Market: 2017 to 2035
  15. Autonomous Vehicle Shipments by Vehicle Type, Forecast, World Market: 2017 to 2035
  16. Registered Autonomous Vehicles by Vehicle Type, Forecast, World Market: 2017 to 2035
  17. Registered Autonomous Buses by Driving Mode, Forecast, World Market: 2017 to 2035
  18. ADAS, Truck Platoon System and Autonomous Commercial Vehicle Shipments, World Market, Forecast: 2015 to 2035
  19. Registered Vehicles with ADAS, Platooning Capabilities and Registered Autonomous Commercial Vehicles, Forecast, World Market: 2015 to 2035

Figures

  1. Forward Collision Mitigation / Advanced Emergency Braking
  2. Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC)
  3. Tractrix / Off-tracking in Truck-Trailers
  4. Platooning with Two Trucks
  5. The Likely Progression of Commercial Vehicle Platoons
  6. The Role of Sensors and V2X Communication in Autonomous Commercial Vehicles
  7. The Future Truck 2025
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Research Information

Price
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Publish Date
2Q 2015
Code
AN-1997
Research Type
Technology Analysis Report
Pages
30