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Driverless Vehicles

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While autonomous driving under the control of a human standby driver is quickly gaining momentum and winning acceptance, driverless vehicles mostly remain off target, despite Google's recent announcement to start its testing. However, only driverless vehicles will bring the full range of autonomous driving benefits including car sharing, social mobility, and economic growth. While progress is being made on the technological side, user acceptance and regulation remain huge bottlenecks. Nevertheless, the path towards robotic vehicles is now firmly established with the stakes very high for those getting their first.

This report describes the main driverless car players and initiatives, technologies, use cases, wider impact, barriers, and use attitudes, and includes forecasts per type and region.

Table of Contents

  • 1. THE CASE FOR DRIVERLESS VEHICLES
    • 1.1. Autonomous versus Driverless Vehicles
    • 1.2. Driverless Cars Will Bring the Real Benefits of Autonomous Driving
    • 1.3. Driverless Vehicle Types
      • 1.3.1. Single Mode
      • 1.3.2. Multi-Mode
    • 1.4. Public Roads versus Controlled Environments
    • 1.5. Cities versus Highways
    • 1.6. Driverless Vehicle Use Cases
      • 1.6.1. Manned Use Cases
      • 1.6.2. Unmanned Use Cases
  • 2. DRIVERLESS VEHICLE TRIALS AND RESEARCH PROJECTS
    • 2.1. Google
    • 2.2. U.S. Army - GUSS
    • 2.3. Induct - Navia
    • 2.4. United Kingdom
    • 2.5. Singapore
    • 2.6. Car Manufacturers
    • 2.7. Tier One Suppliers
  • 3. DRIVERLESS VEHICLE TECHNOLOGY
    • 3.1. ADAS Sensors
    • 3.2. Real-time, High-accuracy 3D Maps
    • 3.3. V2X: Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V) and Vehicle-to-Infrastructure (V2I)
    • 3.4. Computing
    • 3.5. Artificial Intelligence Algorithms
  • 4. DRIVERLESS VEHICLE MARKET DRIVERS
  • 5. CONSUMER ATTITUDES AND ACCEPTANCE
  • 6. WIDER IMPACT OF DRIVERLESS VEHICLES
    • 6.1. The Car as a Service (CaaS)
    • 6.2. Blurring of the Boundaries between Public and Private Transportation
    • 6.3. Automotive Industry Consolidation
    • 6.4. Widespread Adoption of Fleet Management Technology and Commercial Telematics
    • 6.5. Driverless Vehicles, Electrification, and Wireless Charging
    • 6.6. Autonomous Driving and Smart Cities
    • 6.7. Impact on Vehicle Design
    • 6.8. Impact on the Number of Vehicles and Required Road and Parking Infrastructure
    • 6.9. Infotainment Explosion
    • 6.10. Impact on the Urban Landscape
    • 6.11. Impact on Economy
    • 6.12. Impact on Employment
  • 7. BARRIERS AND CHALLENGES
    • 7.1. Legislation and Regulation
    • 7.2. Liabilities
    • 7.3. Consumer Acceptance
    • 7.4. Ethical Considerations
    • 7.5. Cost
    • 7.6. Entrenched Interests
    • 7.7. Car Sharing and Rental Business Models
    • 7.8. Security
  • 8. DRIVERLESS VEHICLE ECOSYSTEM DYNAMICS
  • 9. DRIVERLESS VEHICLE FORECASTS

Charts

  1. Driverless Vehicle Shipments by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2017 to 2035
  2. Driverless Vehicle Installed Base by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2017 to 2035
  3. Driverless Vehicle Shipments by Type, North America, Forecast: 2017 to 2035
  4. Driverless Vehicle Shipments by Type, Europe, Forecast: 2017 to 2035
  5. Driverless Vehicle Shipments by Type, Asia-Pacific, Forecast: 2017 to 2035
  6. Driverless Vehicle Shipments by Type, Rest of the World, Forecast: 2017 to 2035
  7. Driverless Vehicle Shipments by Type, World Market, Forecast: 2017 to 2035

Figures

  1. Autonomous Vehicle Types
  2. TRW Movable Steering Wheel Concept
  3. Reduced Autonomous Vehicle Steering Wheel Concept
  4. Google Driverless Vehicle Prototype
  5. GUSS (Ground Unmanned Support Surrogate)
  6. Navia Driverless Shuttle