Predictions 2015: Smartphone, Wearables, and Accessories

• 1. OVERARCHING MEGATRENDS
  • 1.1. Hardware Fragmentation
  • 1.2. Disruptive Supply Chain and Vendor Trends
  • 1.3. Flexible Business Models
  • 1.4. Community or Customer Experience 2.0
• 2. WEARABLES PREDICTIONS
  • 2.1. Apple Watch Dominates Smart Watches
  • 2.2. A Number of Traditional Watchmakers Launch Smart Watches
  • 2.3. Smart Glass Hype Comes Back Down to Earth, with a Bump
  • 2.4. Acquisitions in Hardware and Analytics
  • 2.5. Dedicated Wearable Components
• 3. SMARTPHONE PREDICTIONS
  • 3.1. The Race for Third in 2015 and Ultimately Second
• 4. SMARTPHONE SPOT PREDICTIONS
  • 4.1. The Arms Race Continues
  • 4.2. China's Growth Slows
  • 4.3. China's Vendors Look Outside of China, with Mixed Results
  • 4.4. Xiaomi's Growth Slows as International Expansion Stalls
  • 4.5. Multidevice Hardware Ecosystems
  • 4.6. Soft/e-SIM Technology Emerges in 2015
  • 4.7. 3D and Array Cameras Become Standard in Flagship Smartphones in 2015
  • 4.8. LTE Direct Is Launched in Late 2015
  • 4.9. Online Device Sales Grow
  • 4.10. Accessory Sales Grow
  • 4.11. The Third Screen
• 5. CHANNELS AND CARRIER PREDICTIONS
  • 5.1. Independent and Direct OEM Financing Grows in 2015
  • 5.2. Prepaid Sees Growth in Western Europe in 2015
  • 5.3. LTE-Advanced and Carrier Aggregation Drive Speed-based Tariffs in 2016
  • 5.4. Chinese and Possibly U.S. Carriers Acquire Large European Carriers

Tables

1. Handset and Smartphone CAGRs by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2014 to 2019

Charts

1. Wearable Devices by Category, World Market, Forecast: 2013 to 2019
2. Smart Glasses by End-user Category, World Market, Forecast: 2013 to 2019
3. Handset Unit Shipments by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2010 to 2019
4. Smartphone Unit Volumes by Price Tier, World Market, Forecast: 2011 to 2019
5. The Race for Third: Contenders' Handset Shipment Unit Volumes, 1Q 2013 to 3Q 2014

Figures

1. The Device Continuum