Femtocells

2011 Operator, AP, Chipset Vendor, and System Integrator Update

Research Report

The market for femtocells has reached a critical point in its evolution. While multiple operators across the world are deploying and committing to femtocells, there is a worry that the pace of deployment is not as fast as was expected. Although large operators like AT&T, Sprint, Verizon, and Vodafone provide femtocells as a part of their portfolio, their proposition hasn’t evolved beyond voice coverage or using the femto as a customer retention tool. The extended propositions of providing enhanced data capacity indoors or providing innovative femtozone services hasn’t seen any concrete traction so far. More importantly, using the femtocell as a competitive customer acquisition tool, rather than just a retention tool, hasn't happened for the most part. So where does the market go from here? What does this mean for the ecosystem of chipset vendors, box vendors, and system integrators? This report focuses on the two current mainstay markets for femtocells - consumer and enterprise. Operator attitudes toward femtocells are examined, closely highlighting some of the issues and any positive signals going ahead. In addition, in emergence and importance of small cells, the larger umbrella under which femto, pico, and micro exist has been a key trend in 2011. How does this impact the market for femtocells going forward and what does this mean for the vendors and ecosystem players?

Table of Contents

  • 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
    • 1.1. Introduction
    • 1.2. Key Market Trends
  • 2. TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW
    • 2.1. Chipset and Module Architectures
    • 2.2. SoC
    • 2.3. DSP
    • 2.4. Reference Designs
    • 2.5. Basic Reference Designs
    • 2.6. "Integration Ready" Femtocell
    • 2.7. Product Architectures
    • 2.8. Consumer Grade
    • 2.9. Enterprise Grade
    • 2.10. Metro Grade
    • 2.11. System Architectures
    • 2.12. Modified RNC Approach
    • 2.13. Iuh Controller Approach
    • 2.14. SIP/IMS Approach
  • 3. MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
    • 3.1. Femtocells Are Dead, Long Live the Small Cell
    • 3.2. Network Deployments Growing But Shipments Lagging
    • 3.3. Proof Points of Existing Femtocell Deployments Encouraging
    • 3.4. A Majority of Operators Still Hesitant in Expanding Femto Footprint
    • 3.5. Operator Pain Points with Femtocell Deployment
    • 3.6. Enterprise and Business Femtocell Adoption
    • 3.7. New Enterprise Small Cell Cluster Architecture Emerging
    • 3.8. Small Cell Chipset Market Getting Segregated
    • 3.9. Femto as a Service
    • 3.10. Far Eastern ODMs and the $50 Femtocell
    • 3.11. LTE Femto
    • 3.12. Wi-Fi Integration with Femtocell
  • 4. KEY ACCESS POINT VENDORS AND SYSTEM INTEGRATORS
    • 4.1. Airvana
    • 4.2. AirWalk Communications
    • 4.3. Alcatel-Lucent
    • 4.4. Argela
    • 4.5. Cisco
    • 4.6. Ericsson
    • 4.7. Hay Systems
    • 4.8. Hitachi
    • 4.9. Huawei
    • 4.10. ip.access
    • 4.11. LG-Ericsson (Previously LG-Nortel)
    • 4.12. NEC
    • 4.13. Nokia Siemens (NSN)
    • 4.14. Samsung
    • 4.15. Ubiquisys
    • 4.16. ZTE
    • 4.17. Market Shares
  • 5. KEY CHIPSET AND COMPONENT VENDORS
    • 5.1. Aricent
    • 5.2. Broadcom/Percello
    • 5.3. Continuous Computing (now Radisys)
    • 5.4. Freescale
    • 5.5. Node H
    • 5.6. Octasic
    • 5.7. picoChip
    • 5.8. Tata Elxsi
    • 5.9. Texas Instruments
    • 5.10. Qualcomm
  • 6. NETWORK OPERATORS
    • 6.1. North America
    • 6.2. AT&T;
    • 6.3. Sprint
    • 6.4. Verizon
    • 6.5. Europe
    • 6.6. Vodafone
    • 6.7. Telefonica
    • 6.8. Orange/France Telecom
    • 6.9. SFR
    • 6.10. T-Mobile
    • 6.11. Network Norway
    • 6.12. Telecom Italia Mobile (TIM)
    • 6.13. Asia Pac
    • 6.14. Softbank
    • 6.15. StarHub
    • 6.16. China Unicom
    • 6.17. China Mobile
    • 6.18. China Telecom
    • 6.19. Optus
    • 6.20. List of Commercially Deployed Operators
  • 7. FEMTOCELL FORECASTS
    • 7.1. Key Assumptions and Observations
    • 7.2. Revisions to Long-term Outlook
    • 7.3. Methodology
    • 7.4. Forecast Scenarios
    • 7.5. Global Access Point Revenues and Shipments
    • 7.6. Regional Access Point Revenue and Shipments
    • 7.7. Access Point ASP
    • 7.8. Chipset ASP and Revenue
  • 8. STRATEGIC RECOMMENDATIONS
  • 9. COMPANY DIRECTORY
  • 10. ACRONYMS
    • 10.1. Scope of Study
    • 10.2. Sources and Methodology
    • 10.3. Notes
  • Top Line Forecast
  • Key Market Trends
  • Market Share by Shipments
  • Strategic Recommendations

Tables

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  1. Operators with Commercial Femtocell Services
  2. Femtocell Forecasts, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  3. Femtocell Value Chain with Key Players
  4. Types of Enterprise Femtocell Deployments
  5. Femtocell Installations, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  6. Femtocell Users, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  7. Femtocell CPE Shipments by Air Interface, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  8. Femtocell CPE Shipments by Air Interface, North America, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  9. Femtocell CPE Shipments by Air Interface, Europe, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  10. Femtocell CPE Shipments by Air Interface, Asia Pacific, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  11. Femtocell CPE Shipments by Air Interface, RoW, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  12. Femtocell CPE Shipments by Feature Support, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  13. Femtocell Shipments by Architecture and User Group, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  14. Femtocell CPE ASPs, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  15. Femtocell CPE Market Revenue, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  16. Femtocell Chipset ASPs and Revenue, World Markets, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  17. Femtocell Shipments by Architecture and User Group, North America, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  18. Femtocell Shipments by Architecture and User Group, Europe, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  19. Femtocell Shipments by Architecture and User Group, Asia Pacific, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  20. Femtocell Shipments by Architecture and User Group, RoW, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  21. Femtocell CPE Shipments and Revenue, North America, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  22. Femtocell CPE Shipments and Revenue, Europe, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  23. Femtocell CPE Shipments and Revenue, Asia Pacific, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  24. Femtocell CPE Shipments and Revenue, RoW, Forecast: 2010 to 2016

Charts

  1. Femtocell Shipment Scenarios
  2. Femtocell Installations
  3. Femtocell Users
  4. Femtocell Access Point Shipments and Revenues
  5. Femtocell CPE Shipments by Air Interface
  6. Femtocell CPE Shipments by Feature Support
  7. Femtocell Shipments by Architecture and User Group
  8. Femtocell Consumer CPE ASP Forecast
  9. Femtocell Market Revenue by Feature
  10. Femtocell Chipset Revenue
  11. Femtocell Vendor/System Integrator Markets Share of Shipments
  12. Femtocell Vendor/System Integrator Market Share of Contracts
  13. Global Femtocell Annual Shipments and Revenues, Forecast: 2010 to 2016
  14. Femtocell Vendor/System Integrator Market Share of Shipments, Global: 2011

Figures

  1. Modified RNC Approach
  2. Iu over IP
  3. SIP/IMS Approach
  4. Fisher Pry Curve