WiMAX

Global Markets for Infrastructure, Devices, and Subscribers

Research Report

WiMAX has had its share of difficulties throughout its development, including years of standardization and fundamental shifts from 802.16d (802.16-2004) to 802.16e (802.16e-2005). The new 802.16m version to be certified soon marks its next milestone. The recent past has shown the resilience of WiMAX and its advantages.

This study presents an overall view of the WiMAX market, examining its progress since the beginning of 2009, the challenges it has had to overcome, and likely future developments. The data include information on infrastructures, base station vendors and CPE shipments, segmented population coverage and revenue.

Table of Contents

  • Executive Brief: Top-Line Forecast
  • Executive Brief: Drivers
  • Executive Brief: Inhibitors
  • Executive Brief: Market Share
  • Executive Brief: Summary and Strategic Recommendations
  • 1. Executive Summary
    • 1.1. State of WiMAX
    • 1.2. Market Drivers for WiMAX
      • 1.2.1. WiMAX Maturity State
      • 1.2.2. Spectrum Availability
      • 1.2.3. Second Round of the US Stimulus Package
      • 1.2.4. CDG Backs WiMAX
      • 1.2.5. Intel's Initiatives
      • 1.2.6. Netbooks, Tablets, and MIDs
      • 1.2.7. 3G Service Pricing in the United States
      • 1.2.8. Clearwire Announced Targets and Rollouts
      • 1.2.9. Japan, Korea, and Buildouts in other Markets
      • 1.2.10. 3G Network Saturation, aka "the 3G iPhone Problem"
      • 1.2.11. Markets with Low Broadband Penetration
      • 1.2.12. Global Roaming Proposed by the WiMAX Forum
      • 1.2.13. WiMAX Forum's Open Retail Certification Program
    • 1.3. Market Barriers
      • 1.3.1. Effects of the Recession
      • 1.3.2. First Round of the US Broadband Stimulus Program
      • 1.3.3. Almost All Mobile Operators Will Deploy LTE
      • 1.3.4. Negative Portrayal of WiMAX in the Media
      • 1.3.5. Spectrum Regulatory Issues in Developing Countries
  • 2. Strategic Recommendations
    • 2.1. Recommendations for Device Vendors
      • 2.1.1. Laptop and Netbook Vendors
      • 2.1.2. CE Vendors
      • 2.1.3. Handset Vendors
    • 2.2. Recommendations for Infrastructure Vendors
    • 2.3. Recommendations for Service Providers
      • 2.3.1. Fixed Wireless ISPs
      • 2.3.2. Mobile Operators
  • 3. Market Issues
    • 3.1. What is 4G?
      • 3.1.1. WiMAX Roadmap
      • 3.1.2. Misleading LTE Claims
        • 3.1.2.1. Claim 1: LTE Will Be a Software Upgrade from HSPA+
        • 3.1.2.2. Claim 2: LTE Is Backwards-Compatible with GSM and WCDMA
    • 3.2. WiMAX's Niche within Other Standards and Services
      • 3.2.1. WiMAX and Home Broadband Access Technologies
      • 3.2.2. WiMAX and Enterprise Solutions
      • 3.2.3. WiMAX as a Backhaul Solution
      • 3.2.4. WiMAX and Other Mobile Broadband Technologies
    • 3.3. Service Provider Activity
      • 3.3.1. Asia-Pacific
      • 3.3.2. United States
      • 3.3.3. Latin America and the Caribbean
      • 3.3.4. Africa
    • 3.4. Clearwire
      • 3.4.1. In Retrospect
      • 3.4.2. Coverage
    • 3.5. Yota
      • 3.5.1. Nicaragua
      • 3.5.2. Peru
  • 4. Technology Issues
    • 4.1. IEEE 802.16 Specifications
      • 4.1.1. IEEE 802.16d: "Fixed" WiMAX
      • 4.1.2. IEEE 802.16e: "Mobile" WiMAX Release 1
      • 4.1.3. IEEE 802.16e: "Mobile" WiMAX Release 1.5
      • 4.1.4. IEEE 802.16m: WiMAX Release 2
    • 4.2. IEEE 802.16 Enhancements
      • 4.2.1. IEEE 802.16f: Management Information Base
      • 4.2.2. IEEE 802.16g: Network Management
      • 4.2.3. IEEE 802.16h: License Exempt Networks
      • 4.2.4. IEEE 802.16i: Mobile Management Information Base
      • 4.2.5. IEEE 802.16j: Multi-Hop Relay
      • 4.2.6. IEEE 802.16k: Bridging
    • 4.3. WiMAX Forums
      • 4.3.1. Fixed WiMAX Certifications
      • 4.3.2. Mobile WiMAX Wave 1 Certifications
      • 4.3.3. Mobile WiMAX Wave 2 Certifications
    • 4.4. Benefits and Drawbacks of Smart Antenna Technologies
      • 4.4.1. Multiple Input Multiple Output
      • 4.4.2. MIMO A
      • 4.4.3. MIMO B
      • 4.4.4. Uplink Collaborative MIMO
      • 4.4.5. Beamforming
    • 4.5. WiMAX Performance
    • 4.6. WiMAX In-Building Coverage
      • 4.6.1. Macro Base Stations
      • 4.6.2. Pico Base Stations
      • 4.6.3. Femtocells
    • 4.7. Other Technology Issues
      • 4.7.1. Spectral Mask/Guard Band and Device Implications
      • 4.7.2. Frequency Re-Use
      • 4.7.3. Interoperability
  • 5. Key Industry Players
    • 5.1. Equipment Vendors
      • 5.1.1. Airspan
      • 5.1.2. Alcatel-Lucent
      • 5.1.3. Alvarion
      • 5.1.4. Aviat Networks
      • 5.1.5. Azure Communications
      • 5.1.6. Cisco
      • 5.1.7. Fujitsu Network Communications
      • 5.1.8. Huawei Technologies
      • 5.1.9. Kyocera Wireless
      • 5.1.10. Nokia-Siemens Networks
      • 5.1.11. NEC
      • 5.1.12. Runcom
      • 5.1.13. Samsung
      • 5.1.14. SOMA Networks
      • 5.1.15. Tranzeo Wireless/Aperto Networks
      • 5.1.16. Tellabs
  • 6. Market Forecasts
    • 6.1. Fixed WiMAX (802.16d) Forecasts
    • 6.2. Mobile WiMAX (802.16e and 802.16m) Forecasts
    • 6.3. The Total WiMAX Market
    • 6.4. Mobile WiMAX Base Station Market Share
    • 6.5. WiMAX Deployments
    • 6.6. WiMAX Population Coverage
  • 7. Company Directory
  • 8. Acronyms

Tables

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  1. Fixed WiMAX Subscribers by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  2. Fixed WiMAX CPE Revenue by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  3. Fixed WiMAX CPE Revenue by Type (Outdoor, Indoor), World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  4. Fixed WiMAX CPE Revenue by Network Type (Private, Access), World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  5. Fixed WiMAX CPE Revenue by Frequency, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  6. Fixed WiMAX CPE Revenue by End Use Market (Business, Consumer), World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  7. Fixed WiMAX BTS Installed Base by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  8. Fixed WiMAX BTS Shipments by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  9. Fixed WiMAX BTS Shipments by Frequency, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  10. Fixed WiMAX BTS ASP, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  11. Fixed WiMAX BTS Revenue by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  12. Fixed WiMAX Subscriber ARPU by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  13. Fixed WiMAX BTS Revenue by Frequency, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  14. Total Fixed WiMAX Equipment Revenue by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  15. Mobile WiMAX Subscribers by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  16. Mobile WiMAX Subscriber ARPU by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  17. Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Service Revenue by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  18. Mobile WiMAX CPE Shipments by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  19. Mobile WiMAX CPE Shipments by CPE Type (Value, Premium), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  20. Mobile WiMAX CPE Shipments by Frequency, World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  21. Mobile WiMAX CPE Shipments by End Use Market (Business, Consumer), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  22. Mobile WiMAX CPE Shipments by Amendment (16e, 16m), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  23. Fixed WiMAX Subscriber Revenue by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  24. Mobile WiMAX CPE ASPs by CPE Type (Value, Premium), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  25. Mobile WiMAX CPE Revenue by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  26. Mobile WiMAX CPE Revenue by CPE Type (Value, Premium), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  27. Mobile WiMAX CPE Revenue by Frequency, World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  28. Mobile WiMAX CPE Revenue by End Use Market (Business, Consumer), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  29. Mobile WiMAX CPE Revenue by Amendment (16e, 16m), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  30. Mobile WiMAX Device Shipments by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  31. Mobile WiMAX Device Shipments by Device Type, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  32. Mobile WiMAX Device Shipments by Amendment (16e, 16m), World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  33. Mobile WiMAX Device ASPs by Device Type, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  34. Fixed WiMAX CPE Shipments by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  35. Mobile WiMAX Device Revenue by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  36. Mobile WiMAX Device Revenue by Device Type, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  37. Mobile WiMAX Device Revenue by Amendment (16e, 16m), World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  38. Mobile WiMAX CPE and Device Shipments by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  39. Mobile WiMAX CPE and Device Shipments by Amendment (16e, 16m), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  40. Mobile WiMAX CPE and Device Revenue by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  41. Mobile WiMAX CPE and Device Revenue by Amendment (16e, 16m), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  42. Mobile WiMAX BTS Installed Base by Region (Macro and Micro Only), World Market, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  43. Mobile WiMAX BTS Shipments by Region (Macro and Micro Only), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  44. Mobile WiMAX BTS Shipments by Frequency, World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  45. Fixed WiMAX CPE Shipments by Type (Outdoor, Indoor), World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  46. Mobile WiMAX BTS Shipments by BTS Type (Macro, Micro, Pico, Femto), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  47. Mobile WiMAX BTS ASPs by BTS Type (Macro, Micro, Pico, Femto), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  48. Mobile WiMAX BTS Revenue by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  49. Mobile WiMAX BTS Revenue by Frequency, World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  50. Mobile WiMAX BTS Revenue by BTS Type (Macro, Micro, Pico, Femto), World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  51. Total Mobile WiMAX Equipment and Device Revenue by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  52. Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Equipment and Device Revenue by Region, World Market, Forecast: 2008 to 2015
  53. Mobile WiMAX Base Station Shipment Market Share, World Market: 2008 and 2009
  54. Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Service Provider Deployments, Western Europe: 1Q 2010
  55. Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Service Provider Deployments, Eastern Europe: 1Q 2010
  56. Fixed WiMAX CPE Shipments by Network Type (Private, Access), World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  57. Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Service Provider Deployments, Asia-Pacific: 1Q 2010
  58. Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Service Provider Deployments, United States: 1Q 2010
  59. Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Service Provider Deployments, Canada: 1Q 2010
  60. Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Service Provider Deployments, Latin America: 1Q 2010
  61. Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Service Provider Deployments, Middle East: 1Q 2010
  62. Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Service Provider Deployments, Africa: 1Q 2010
  63. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Spectrum Band, Western Europe, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  64. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Spectrum Band, Eastern Europe, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  65. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Spectrum Band, Asia-Pacific, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  66. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Spectrum Band, United States, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  67. Fixed WiMAX CPE Shipments by Frequency, World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  68. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Spectrum Band, Canada, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  69. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Spectrum Band, Latin America, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  70. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Spectrum Band, Middle East, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  71. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Spectrum Band, Africa, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  72. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Spectrum Band, World Market, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  73. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Technology, Western Europe, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  74. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Technology, Eastern Europe, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  75. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Technology, Asia-Pacific, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  76. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Technology, United States, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  77. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Technology, Canada, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  78. Fixed WiMAX CPE Shipments by End Use Market (Business, Consumer), World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  79. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Technology, Latin America, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  80. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Technology, Middle East, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  81. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Technology, Africa, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  82. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Technology, World Market, Forecast: 2007 to 2015
  83. Fixed WiMAX CPE ASPs by Type (Outdoor, Indoor), World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015

Charts

  1. Mobile WiMAX Device Shipments by Device Type World Market, Forecast: 2006 to 2015
  2. Mobile WiMAX Base Station Shipment Market Share World Market: 2009
  3. Fixed WiMAX Subscribers by Region
  4. Fixed WiMAX CPE Shipments by Region
  5. Fixed WiMAX CPE ASPs by Type (Outdoor, Indoor)
  6. Fixed WiMAX BTS Installed Base by Region
  7. Total Fixed WiMAX Equipment Revenue by Region
  8. Mobile WiMAX CPE Shipments by Region
  9. Mobile WiMAX CPE ASPs by CPE Type (Value, Premium)
  10. Mobile WiMAX Device Shipments by Region
  11. Mobile WiMAX Device Shipments by Device Type
  12. Mobile WiMAX CPE and Device Revenue by Region
  13. Mobile WiMAX BTS Shipments by BTS Type (Macro, Micro, Pico, Femto)
  14. Total Mobile WiMAX Equipment and Device Revenue by Region
  15. Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Equipment and Device Revenue by Region
  16. Mobile WiMAX Base Station Shipment Market Share
  17. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Spectrum Band
  18. Mobile WiMAX POPs Coverage by Technology