NFC Mobile Payments

UICC, Card Emulation, Secure Element, and Contactless Payment Terminals

Research Report

Pages
53
Deliverables
Released
3Q 2011
Product Code
RR-NFCPAY-11
Price
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Mobile payments enabled by NFC may become more than trial programs in 2012 with initiatives in the US, Europe, and Asia moving forward. There are challenges to NFC mobile payments becoming mainstream. When will this take place and which players and business models will succeed? This report examines business models with the potential to succeed, analyzes the key players in the ecosystem, and provides forecasts for consumer adoption and payments made via NFC by region as well as key countries.

What Questions Does This Report Answer?

  • When will NFC mobile payments reach the mass market tipping point in each region?
  • How much will consumers use NFC mobile payments through 2016?
  • What business models will succeed?
  • What companies will most benefit from NFC mobile payments?
  • How will merchants incorporate NFC mobile payments into their retail experience?

Who Needs This Report?

  • Retailers
  • Payment Providers
  • OEMs
  • MNOs
  • Semi-conductor makers
  • Banks
  • Mobile OS players
  • Investment banks

Table of Contents

  • Executive Brief

  • Top Line Forecast
  • Drivers
  • Inhibitors
  • Market Share
  • Summary and Strategic Recommendations

Section 1.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1.1. Drivers
1.2. Barriers
1.3. Emerging Business Models - Control Over the Secure Element
1.4. Emerging Business Models - Finding Room for MNOs, OEMs
1.5. Emerging Business Models - MNO Partner Structures
1.6. Emerging Business Models - OEM/OS-led
1.7. Market Today - Merchants Point of View
1.8. Analysis - Payment Providers
1.9. Market Forecasts
1.10. Conclusions

Section 2.
NFC MOBILE PAYMENT BASICS

2.1. NFC Defined
2.2. Mobile Payments Use Case
2.3. Primary NFC Mobile Payments Ecosystem Players
2.4. Why Mobile Payments Require Hardware Solutions
2.5. Secure Element
2.6. UICC SE Versus Handset-embedded SE
2.7. Bridging Solutions: Interim and Non-embedded NFC Technologies
2.8. Removable NFC Using SD Cards
2.9. Contactless Stickers
2.10. SIM-based Contactless Attachments

Section 3.
MARKET ISSUES

3.1. Current Market Landscape Overview
3.2. Emerging Business Models - Control over the Secure Element
3.3. Emerging Business Models - Finding Room for MNOs, OEMs
3.4. Emerging Business Models - MNO Partner Structures
3.5. Mobile Payment Trials
3.6. Joint Ventures
3.7. Alliances
3.8. Emerging Business Models - OEM/OS Led
3.9. Current Market Landscape - Handsets
3.10. NFC Handset Costs
3.11. NFC Handsets: Differentiator or Essential?
3.12. Market Today - Transit Point of View
3.13. Market Today - Merchants Point of View
3.14. NFC in Retail
3.15. Retail Outlook
3.16. Market Today - Merchant POS Providers Point of View
3.17. Market Today - Payment Providers/Banks Point of View
3.18. Analysis - Payment Providers
3.19. Market Today - MNOs Point of View
3.20. NFC Ecosystem Development
3.21. How Will the TSM Market Look?
3.22. Other Key NFC Enabler Companies

Section 4.
TECHNOLOGY ISSUES

4.1. NFC ISO Standards
4.2. NFC Forum Device-Specific Architecture
4.3. The EMVCo Mobile Payment Working Group
4.4. GlobalPlatform
4.5. Association Française du Sans Contact Mobile

Section 5.
MARKET FORECASTS

5.1. Forecast Methodology
5.2. Notes on Forecasts
5.3. Forecast - Installed Base of NFC Mobile Handsets
5.4. Active NFC Mobile Payment Users
5.5. NFC Mobile Payments, Value of Goods Sold
5.6. NFC Mobile Payment Data - Western Europe
5.7. NFC Mobile Payment Data - Eastern Europe
5.8. NFC Mobile Payment Data - Asia Pacific
5.9. NFC Mobile Payments Data - North America
5.10. NFC Mobile Payments Data - Latin America
5.11. NFC Mobile Payments Data - Middle East
5.12. NFC Mobile Payments Data - Africa

Section 6.
COMPANY DIRECTORY


Section 7.
ACRONYMS


Section 8.
LINKS TO RELATED RESEARCH

8.1. Sources and Methodology
8.2. Notes




23 Tables

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21 Charts
  • Installed Base NFC Mobile Handsets By Region
  • Installed Base NFC As Percentage of Mobile Subscribers, By Region
  • Active NFC Mobile Payment Users, By Region
  • NFC Mobile Payments, Value of Goods Sold, By Region
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Western Europe
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Western Europe
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Eastern Europe
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Eastern Europe
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Asia Pacific
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Asia Pacific
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Selected Markets, Asia Pacific
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, United States
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, United States
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Latin America
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Latin America
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Middle East
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Middle East
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Africa
  • NFC Mobile Payment Data, Africa
  • NFC Mobile Payments, Value of Goods Sold, By Region, World Market, Forecast: 2012 to 2016
  • Active NFC Mobile Payment Users, By Region, World Market, Forecast: 2012 to 2016
1 Figures
  • NFC Forum Device-Specific Architecture