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Monday - October 13, 2008
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 Mobile Operator Capital Expenditures Analysis
Historical and Projected CAPEX Based on Regions, Network Components, Services, and Mobile Technologies CAPEX investment represents 20%—30% of total cost of ownership for mobile operators, yet this crucial cost function directly affects 70%—80% of the OPEX. This highlights how important it is for operators to understand the state-of-the-art of the next generation network, so as to make intelligent infrastructure investment decisions. Meanwhile, network infrastructure vendors need to understand the spending behavior of their customers (operators) if they are to produce solutions that add value. This study highlights the critical market drivers and the latest trends influencing capital expenditure investments by mobile operators worldwide. It examines the key elements of a mobile network that require CAPEX investment, and analyzes the differences in priorities based on the mobile industry’s development in different regions. The report also assesses the technological aspects of each mobile network component by examining vendors’ state-of-the-art innovations, so as to offer the reader a clear picture of the steps required to make the transition from one evolution to the next. ABI Research has examined the historical trends in mobile operators’ CAPEX investments, and breaks down the long-term forecasts for mobile CAPEX by geographical region, as well as by technologies based on services, mobile technologies and components.  What Questions Does This Report Answer?
Section 1.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.1 Overview 1.2 Definitions 1.2.1 CAPEX 1.3 OPEX 1.4 CAPEX Key Drivers 1.5 CAPEX Reduction Means 1.6 World Market Forecasts 1.6.1 World CAPEX Forecast by Region 1.6.2 World CAPEX Forecast by Mobile Technologies 1.6.3 World CAPEX Forecast by Network Components 1.7 Strategic Recommendations 1.7.1 Mobile Network Infrastructure Vendors 1.7.2 Mobile Network Operators Section 2. MOBILE NETWORK CAPEX REQUIREMENTS 2.1 Mobile Network Criterion 2.2 Key Aspects of Mobile Network & Cost Assessment 2.2.1 Radio Access Network (RAN) 2.2.1.1 Base Transceiver Stations (BTS) / Node B / eNodeB 2.2.1.2 Base Station Controller (BSC) / Radio Network Controller (RNC) 2.2.2 Core Network 2.2.3 Backhaul Infrastructure 2.2.4 Service Delivery Platforms 2.2.5 IMS Platforms 2.2.6 Engineering, Installation, Cabling and Other Expenditures 2.2.7 In-Building Wireless Solutions 2.3 Key Findings Section 3. KEY DRIVERS AND TRENDS IN CAPEX 3.1 Mobile Evolution: 2G to 3G to 4G 3.2 Spectrum Allocation Trend 3.3 In-Building Wireless 3.4 All IP Platform: Non IP to Softswitch IP to IMS 3.5 Fixed Mobile Convergence 3.6 Data Services 3.7 Initiatives to Contain CAPEX 3.7.1 Network Sharing 3.7.2 Managed Services 3.7.3 Multi-standard Seamless Networks 3.7.4 IMS and IP Network Infrastructure 3.8 Key Findings Section 4. KEY INDUSTRY PLAYERS: 4.1 Nokia Siemens Networks 4.1.1 Key Offerings 4.1.2 3 Recent Contracts Won 4.2 Nortel Networks 4.2.1 Key Offerings 4.2.2 3 Recent Contracts Won 4.3 Ericsson 4.3.1 Key Offerings 4.3.2 3 Recent Contracts Won 4.4 Alcatel-Lucent 4.4.1 Key Offerings 4.4.2 3 Recent Contracts Won 4.5 Motorola 4.5.1 Key Offerings 4.5.2 3 Recent Contracts Won 4.6 Huawei 4.6.1 Key Offerings 4.6.2 3 Recent Contracts Won 4.7 ZTE 4.7.1 Key Offerings 4.7.2 3 Recent Contracts Won 4.8 Key Findings Section 5. MARKET FORECASTS METHODOLOGIES 5.1 Forecast Methodologies 5.1.1 Mobile CAPEX Definitions 5.1.2 Calculation Steps for Operator and Regiona-level Mobile CAPEX per Service Revenue 5.1.3 Calculation Steps for Regional Service Revenue 5.1.3.1 Mobile Subscriber Forecast 5.1.3.1.1 New Product Diffusion Model 5.1.3.1.2 Deriving Growth Coefficients 5.1.3.1.3 The New Product Conundrum 5.1.3.1.4 The 3G Adoption Rate Debate 5.1.3.1.5 Using Analogical Products as Baseline 5.1.3.2 ARPU Forecast 5.1.4 Mobile CAPEX Analysis by Network Components and Mobile Technologies Section 6. REGIONAL MOBILE MARKET LANDSCAPES AND 6.1 Asia-Pacific Mobile Market Landscape 6.1.1 China Mobile 6.1.2 NTT Docomo 6.1.3 Bharti Airtel 6.1.4 Asia-Pacific CAPEX Forecast by Mobile Technologies 6.1.5 Asia-Pacific CAPEX Forecast by Equipment Types 6.2 Europe Mobile Market Landscape 6.2.1 Vodafone Group 6.2.2 France Telecom Group 6.2.3 Western Europe CAPEX Forecast by Mobile Technologies 6.2.4 Western Europe CAPEX Forecast by Equipment Types 6.2.5 Eastern Europe CAPEX Forecast by Mobile Technologies 6.2.6 Eastern Europe CAPEX Forecast by Equipment Types 6.3 North America Mobile Market Landscape 6.3.1 Sprint Nextel 6.3.2 Rogers Wireless 6.3.3 North America CAPEX Forecast by Mobile Technologies 6.3.4 North America CAPEX Forecast by Equipment Types 6.4 South America Mobile Market Landscape 6.4.1 America Movil 6.4.2 South America CAPEX Forecast by Mobile Technologies 6.4.3 South America CAPEX Forecast by Equipment Types 6.5 Africa & Middle East Mobile Market Landscape 6.5.1 MTN 6.5.2 Africa and Middle East CAPEX Forecast by Mobile Technologies 6.5.3 Africa and Middle East CAPEX Forecast by Equipment Types 6.6 Key Findings Section 7. COMPANY DIRECTORY Section 8. ACRONYMS MOBILE INFRASTRUCTURE VENDORS CAPEX MARKET FORECAST SCOPE OF STUDY SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY NOTES Tables
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